Contrasting Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ:PNRA) & Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN)

Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ: PNRA) and Dunkin’ Brands Group (NASDAQ:DNKN) are both mid-cap retail/wholesale companies, but which is the superior investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their profitabiliy, dividends, valuation, earnings, analyst recommendations, risk and institutional ownership.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

96.5% of Panera Bread Company shares are held by institutional investors. Comparatively, 94.3% of Dunkin’ Brands Group shares are held by institutional investors. 7.0% of Panera Bread Company shares are held by insiders. Comparatively, 3.1% of Dunkin’ Brands Group shares are held by insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers and endowments believe a stock is poised for long-term growth.

Volatility and Risk

Panera Bread Company has a beta of 0.25, meaning that its stock price is 75% less volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Dunkin’ Brands Group has a beta of 0.22, meaning that its stock price is 78% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Profitability

This table compares Panera Bread Company and Dunkin’ Brands Group’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
Panera Bread Company 5.39% 51.13% 12.60%
Dunkin’ Brands Group 24.81% -133.92% 6.89%

Valuation and Earnings

This table compares Panera Bread Company and Dunkin’ Brands Group’s top-line revenue, earnings per share (EPS) and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio EBITDA Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
Panera Bread Company $2.84 billion 2.49 $423.56 million $6.63 47.47
Dunkin’ Brands Group $829.79 million 6.02 $440.74 million $2.23 24.32

Dunkin’ Brands Group has higher revenue, but lower earnings than Panera Bread Company. Dunkin’ Brands Group is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Panera Bread Company, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Dividends

Dunkin’ Brands Group pays an annual dividend of $1.29 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.4%. Panera Bread Company does not pay a dividend. Dunkin’ Brands Group pays out 57.8% of its earnings in the form of a dividend.

Analyst Recommendations

This is a breakdown of current ratings and recommmendations for Panera Bread Company and Dunkin’ Brands Group, as provided by MarketBeat.com.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
Panera Bread Company 1 13 7 0 2.29
Dunkin’ Brands Group 3 8 7 0 2.22

Panera Bread Company presently has a consensus target price of $272.89, indicating a potential downside of 13.30%. Dunkin’ Brands Group has a consensus target price of $56.00, indicating a potential upside of 3.26%. Given Dunkin’ Brands Group’s higher possible upside, analysts plainly believe Dunkin’ Brands Group is more favorable than Panera Bread Company.

Summary

Panera Bread Company beats Dunkin’ Brands Group on 10 of the 15 factors compared between the two stocks.

Panera Bread Company Company Profile

Panera Bread Company is a food service company. The Company is a national bakery-cafe concept. As of December 27, 2016, the Company operated 2,036 own and franchise-operated bakery-cafe locations in 46 states, the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. It operates through three segments: Company bakery-cafe operations, franchise operations, and fresh dough and other product operations. The Company Bakery-Cafe Operations segment includes the operating activities of the bakery-cafes owned directly and indirectly by the Company. The Franchise Operations segment includes the operating activities of the franchise business unit, which licenses qualified operators to conduct business under the Panera Bread or Paradise Bakery & Cafe names. The Fresh Dough and Other Product Operations segment supplies fresh dough, produce, tuna, cream cheese, and indirectly supplies sweet goods items through a contract manufacturing arrangement, to the Company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafes.

Dunkin’ Brands Group Company Profile

Dunkin’ Brands Group, Inc. is a franchisor of quick service restaurants (QSRs) serving hot and cold coffee and baked goods, as well as hard serve ice cream. The Company franchises restaurants under its Dunkin’ Donuts and Baskin-Robbins brands. The Company operates through four segments: Dunkin’ Donuts-U.S., Dunkin’ Donuts International, Baskin-Robbins International and Baskin-Robbins-U.S. The Dunkin’ Donuts U.S. segment is the United States QSR concept, and markets donut and bagel categories for servings. The Baskin-Robbins-U.S. segment is engaged in serving hard-serve ice cream, and develops and sells a range of frozen ice cream treats, such as cones, cakes, sundaes and frozen beverages. The Company’s Dunkin’ Donuts International segment franchisees are responsible for sourcing their own supplies with its standards. As of December 31, 2016, Baskin-Robbins International segment had a manufacturing network, which consisted of 14 facilities.

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