Seaport Research Partners Has Lowered Expectations for Vistra (NYSE:VST) Stock Price

Vistra (NYSE:VST) had its price target lowered by equities research analysts at Seaport Research Partners from $226.00 to $202.00 in a report issued on Monday. Seaport Research Partners‘s target price suggests a potential upside of 76.44% from the company’s previous close.

Several other equities analysts have also commented on VST. Mizuho initiated coverage on shares of Vistra in a research report on Monday, August 24th. They issued an “outperform” rating and a $169.00 price objective for the company. Bank of America dropped their target price on shares of Vistra from $196.00 to $194.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday, October 27th. Weiss Ratings lowered shares of Vistra from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “hold (c)” rating in a research note on Thursday, August 13th. HSBC assumed coverage on shares of Vistra in a report on Thursday, October 22nd. They issued a “buy” rating and a $190.00 price target for the company. Finally, Scotiabank lowered their price objective on shares of Vistra from $207.00 to $189.00 and set a “sector outperform” rating for the company in a research note on Wednesday, October 28th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, nineteen have given a Buy rating, three have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $205.00.

Vistra Stock Down 4.8%

VST stock traded down $5.80 on Monday, hitting $114.49. 9,461,312 shares of the company’s stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 5,249,726. Vistra has a 12-month low of $110.89 and a 12-month high of $196.80. The firm has a 50 day moving average price of $144.73 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $153.08. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.87, a quick ratio of 0.87 and a current ratio of 0.97. The stock has a market cap of $38.43 billion, a P/E ratio of 19.16 and a beta of 1.37.

Vistra (NYSE:VST) last released its quarterly earnings results on Friday, August 7th. The company reported $0.76 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.61 by ($0.85). Vistra had a net margin of 11.55% and a return on equity of 108.68%. The business had revenue of $4.02 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $5.46 billion. As a group, equities research analysts expect that Vistra will post 8.93 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Buying and Selling at Vistra

In related news, EVP Scott A. Hudson sold 22,222 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, October 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $160.14, for a total transaction of $3,558,631.08. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president owned 308,915 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $49,469,648.10. This trade represents a 6.71% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available at this hyperlink. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, CEO James Burke purchased 4,465 shares of the stock in a transaction on Tuesday, September 1st. The stock was acquired at an average cost of $135.25 per share, for a total transaction of $603,891.25. Following the completion of the acquisition, the chief executive officer owned 1,146,352 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $155,044,108. The trade was a 0.39% increase in their position. Additional details regarding this purchase are available in the official SEC disclosure. 0.92% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Vistra

A number of institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the stock. Premier Financial Group acquired a new stake in shares of Vistra in the second quarter valued at approximately $34,000. Stonehage Fleming Financial Services Holdings Ltd purchased a new position in shares of Vistra during the second quarter worth approximately $37,000. Silicon Valley Capital Partners acquired a new position in shares of Vistra in the 2nd quarter valued at $39,000. Latitude Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in Vistra in the 3rd quarter valued at $42,000. Finally, Provenance Wealth Advisors LLC purchased a new stake in Vistra in the 3rd quarter valued at $43,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 90.88% of the company’s stock.

More Vistra News

Here are the key news stories impacting Vistra this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Some bullish analysis argues that Vistra’s shift toward long-term power agreements and capacity revenues could make earnings more predictable. One article cites 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance growth of 21.8% and sees potential upside from the Cogentrix acquisition and Meta contracts. Vistra: The Market Is Underpricing Its Shift To Contracted Earnings
• Positive Sentiment: Despite the policy concerns, an analysis notes that most of Vistra’s 2027 output is hedged and estimates its free-cash-flow yield at over 10%, suggesting a potential valuation cushion if demand concerns ease. Vistra: Texas Turned Blue, And The 2026 Forecast Didn’t Move
• Neutral Sentiment: Vistra is scheduled to report third-quarter results on November 6. Analysts expect revenue of about $7.44 billion, though results and management’s comments on Texas demand and data-center projects may shape near-term trading. Vistra Set for Q3 Earnings Release
• Negative Sentiment: The main overhang is uncertainty after the Texas election: investors fear potential restrictions on data-center development could curb future electricity demand. Texas accounts for about 28% of Vistra’s EBITDA, making policy changes a material risk to growth expectations. Vistra Fell 14% on the Texas Election Vote
• Negative Sentiment: KeyBanc cut its rating on VST from Overweight to Sector Weight amid the Texas policy questions. Scotiabank also lowered its 2026 EPS estimate to $8.83 from $9.14, although it kept a Sector Outperform rating and $189 price target.
• Negative Sentiment: Put-option buying was unusually high, with 67,301 puts traded—69% above the average volume—signaling elevated demand for downside protection or bearish positioning.

About Vistra

Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST) is an integrated energy company based in Irving, Texas. The company operates across electricity generation, power distribution support, energy marketing and retail electricity sales, serving residential, commercial and industrial customers primarily in the United States.

Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation and energy storage facilities. Its assets include natural gas, nuclear, coal and renewable generation, as well as battery storage projects.