Zacks Research Has Weak Outlook for Dollar Tree Q1 Earnings

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) – Investment analysts at Zacks Research cut their Q1 2027 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of Dollar Tree in a report issued on Monday, March 30th. Zacks Research analyst Team now expects that the company will post earnings of $1.55 per share for the quarter, down from their prior estimate of $1.58. The consensus estimate for Dollar Tree’s current full-year earnings is $5.39 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Dollar Tree’s Q2 2027 earnings at $1.04 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $1.39 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $2.70 EPS, FY2027 earnings at $6.68 EPS, Q1 2028 earnings at $1.66 EPS, Q2 2028 earnings at $1.21 EPS, Q3 2028 earnings at $1.57 EPS, Q4 2028 earnings at $3.02 EPS, FY2028 earnings at $7.45 EPS and FY2029 earnings at $8.37 EPS.

Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Monday, March 16th. The company reported $2.56 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $2.53 by $0.03. The firm had revenue of $5.45 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $5.46 billion. Dollar Tree had a return on equity of 32.24% and a net margin of 6.61%.The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 9.0% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the business posted $2.11 earnings per share.

DLTR has been the subject of several other reports. Sanford C. Bernstein lifted their price target on shares of Dollar Tree from $123.00 to $124.00 and gave the company a “market perform” rating in a report on Tuesday, March 17th. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft reiterated a “hold” rating and set a $126.00 price objective on shares of Dollar Tree in a research note on Thursday, January 8th. BNP Paribas Exane cut shares of Dollar Tree from a “hold” rating to an “underperform” rating and set a $87.00 target price on the stock. in a report on Wednesday, January 21st. Morgan Stanley decreased their target price on Dollar Tree from $146.00 to $126.00 and set an “equal weight” rating for the company in a research note on Tuesday, March 17th. Finally, Truist Financial lowered their target price on Dollar Tree from $156.00 to $142.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Monday, March 16th. Eight equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, nine have issued a Hold rating and seven have assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Dollar Tree currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $123.24.

Dollar Tree Stock Down 1.2%

DLTR stock opened at $105.74 on Tuesday. The firm has a market cap of $20.86 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.92, a PEG ratio of 1.34 and a beta of 0.73. Dollar Tree has a 1-year low of $61.87 and a 1-year high of $142.40. The firm has a fifty day moving average price of $119.75 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $113.13. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, a current ratio of 1.07 and a quick ratio of 0.29.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the business. Corient Private Wealth LLC increased its holdings in shares of Dollar Tree by 23.4% during the fourth quarter. Corient Private Wealth LLC now owns 24,608 shares of the company’s stock valued at $3,027,000 after purchasing an additional 4,666 shares during the period. Gunpowder Capital Management LLC dba Oliver Wealth Management acquired a new stake in Dollar Tree in the fourth quarter worth about $45,000. Bayban acquired a new stake in Dollar Tree in the fourth quarter worth about $49,000. OCONNOR A Distinct Business Unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC bought a new position in Dollar Tree in the 4th quarter valued at about $1,230,000. Finally, Reflection Asset Management bought a new position in Dollar Tree in the 4th quarter valued at about $25,000. Institutional investors own 97.40% of the company’s stock.

More Dollar Tree News

Here are the key news stories impacting Dollar Tree this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Zacks raised several medium‑/longer‑term forecasts — including FY2027 (to $6.68) and FY2029 (to $8.37) and modest quarter upgrades for Q3 2027 and Q3/Q4 2028 — suggesting analysts see continued earnings expansion over the next few years. (Zacks Research notes)
• Positive Sentiment: Dollar Tree is investing in distribution network and AI‑driven systems as part of supply‑chain modernization, which could improve inventory discipline, reduce logistics costs and support margins over time. Article Title
• Neutral Sentiment: Coverage and commentary (e.g., The Motley Fool piece) references Dollar Tree’s consumer spending readouts from 2025 results in a broader retail/consumer context; useful for sentiment but not a direct catalyst. Article Title
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks trimmed several nearer‑term quarterly estimates (Q1/Q2 2027 and Q1/Q2 2028 cuts and a small FY2028 downgrade to $7.45 from $7.51), which introduces mixed near‑term guidance and potential volatility around upcoming quarterly results. (Zacks Research notes)

About Dollar Tree

Dollar Tree, Inc is a North American discount retailer that operates a portfolio of value-oriented store banners, primarily Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The company’s stores offer a broad assortment of everyday items at low price points, including household essentials, food and snacks, health and beauty products, cleaning supplies, seasonal and party goods, home décor, and basic apparel. Dollar Tree’s merchandising strategy emphasizes high-turnover branded and private-label merchandise tailored to budget-conscious consumers, with Family Dollar complementing the chain by offering a wider range of price points and assortment depth in smaller-format neighborhood locations.

Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, Dollar Tree has grown through both organic store openings and acquisitions.