AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) Shares Gap Down – Time to Sell?

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) shares gapped down prior to trading on Thursday . The stock had previously closed at $96.92, but opened at $87.90. AST SpaceMobile shares last traded at $83.8040, with a volume of 9,657,403 shares trading hands.

AST SpaceMobile News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting AST SpaceMobile this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Successful BlueBird 6 deployment validates the tech and unlocks commercial revenue potential; the satellite’s large array and claimed up-to-120 Mbps capability make carrier contracts more actionable, supporting the long‑term growth thesis. BlueBird 6 Unfolds: AST SpaceMobile Unlocks Commercial Growth
• Positive Sentiment: Next‑gen satellite roadmap: BlueBird 6’s capabilities and company targets (up to 60 satellites by 2026 and Block‑2 performance) strengthen the operational case for future service rollouts and revenue scaling. Can AST SpaceMobile’s Next-Generation Satellites Drive Future Growth?
• Positive Sentiment: Index inclusion tailwind: MSCI addition increases the pool of passive demand ahead of the Feb. 27 implementation date, which can support the share price as index‑tracking funds rebalance. MSCI adds Starlink rival AST SpaceMobile to global stock index
• Neutral Sentiment: Repurchase program announced: ASTS plans to repurchase up to $300M of existing convertible notes (reduces some debt/overhang) but will fund those repurchases with concurrent registered direct offerings of Class A stock — a mixed move that trims note exposure while creating potential dilution and execution risk. AST SpaceMobile Announces Proposed Repurchases of up to $300.0 Million Convertible Senior Notes to be Funded By Concurrent Registered Direct Offerings of Class A Common Stock
• Negative Sentiment: New $1.0B convertible-note offering due 2036: the private convertible raise increases potential future dilution and creates near‑term overhang that investors often view negatively, contributing to the stock’s pullback. AST SpaceMobile Announces Proposed Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2036
• Negative Sentiment: Insider selling and retail volatility: insiders have sold shares recently and retail chatter spiked premarket, which can amplify downside moves and raise investor caution on timing and sentiment. AST SpaceMobile Insiders Selling US$9.7m In Stock Relieved As Market Cap Slides To US$38b ASTS stock tumbles premarket, retail chatter more than triples – what is driving the moves?
• Negative Sentiment: Analyst estimate downgrades and margin of execution risk: recent downward EPS estimate revisions for 2025–26 signal growing caution on near‑term profitability and execution, which can amplify selling when combined with financing news. Should You Avoid ASTS Stock Amid Declining Estimate Revisions?

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

Several analysts have issued reports on the company. B. Riley Financial downgraded AST SpaceMobile from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating in a research note on Tuesday, January 13th. Barclays lowered AST SpaceMobile from an “overweight” rating to an “underweight” rating and set a $60.00 target price on the stock. in a research report on Friday, October 17th. Scotiabank cut AST SpaceMobile from a “sector perform” rating to a “sector underperform” rating and set a $45.60 target price on the stock. in a research note on Wednesday, January 7th. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of AST SpaceMobile in a research report on Tuesday, January 20th. Finally, Zacks Research downgraded shares of AST SpaceMobile from a “hold” rating to a “strong sell” rating in a report on Friday, January 9th. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have assigned a Hold rating and four have assigned a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Reduce” and an average price target of $45.66.

AST SpaceMobile Stock Performance

The stock has a market capitalization of $29.75 billion, a P/E ratio of -65.38 and a beta of 2.70. The stock has a 50 day simple moving average of $91.19 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $69.84. The company has a quick ratio of 9.48, a current ratio of 9.56 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43.

AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Monday, November 10th. The company reported ($0.45) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.18) by ($0.27). AST SpaceMobile had a negative return on equity of 27.76% and a negative net margin of 1,639.59%.The company had revenue of $14.74 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $22.04 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company earned ($1.10) EPS. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 1236.4% on a year-over-year basis. On average, equities analysts forecast that AST SpaceMobile, Inc. will post -0.4 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Activity

In related news, COO Shanti B. Gupta sold 10,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, December 10th. The shares were sold at an average price of $77.34, for a total value of $773,400.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief operating officer directly owned 382,375 shares in the company, valued at approximately $29,572,882.50. This trade represents a 2.55% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, CAO Maya Bernal sold 6,000 shares of AST SpaceMobile stock in a transaction dated Friday, December 5th. The stock was sold at an average price of $73.76, for a total value of $442,560.00. Following the transaction, the chief accounting officer owned 122,486 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $9,034,567.36. The trade was a 4.67% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. In the last three months, insiders purchased 2,765 shares of company stock valued at $187,236 and sold 2,354,621 shares valued at $164,348,075. 30.90% of the stock is owned by insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the business. REAP Financial Group LLC bought a new stake in AST SpaceMobile in the 3rd quarter valued at $25,000. Crewe Advisors LLC bought a new position in shares of AST SpaceMobile in the fourth quarter valued at about $25,000. Laurel Wealth Advisors LLC acquired a new stake in shares of AST SpaceMobile during the 4th quarter worth about $25,000. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp acquired a new stake in shares of AST SpaceMobile during the 2nd quarter worth about $28,000. Finally, Byrne Asset Management LLC bought a new stake in shares of AST SpaceMobile during the 4th quarter worth about $29,000. 60.95% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

About AST SpaceMobile

AST SpaceMobile is a U.S.-based aerospace company developing a space-based cellular broadband network designed to connect standard mobile phones and other devices directly to satellites. The company’s core proposition is “space-to-cell” service: operating a constellation of low-Earth-orbit (LEO) satellites equipped with large, high-power phased-array antennas to provide wide-area mobile broadband without requiring users to buy specialized terminals or handset modifications.

AST SpaceMobile designs, builds and operates satellite payloads and supporting ground infrastructure.