Carnival beats June guidance, keeps 2027 bookings at records

What happened

Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL) said on September 29, 2026 that third-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $3.0 billion. Net income attributable to Carnival Corporation was an all-time high of $1.9 billion, and adjusted net income was $2.0 billion. Adjusted EBITDA matched last year's high and beat June guidance by $110 million. The release also said revenues and net yields in constant currency were all-time highs.

Record third-quarter customer deposits reached $7.6 billion, and 2027 booked occupancy and pricing were at record levels. Year to date, Carnival completed approximately $1.2 billion of share repurchases and paid $204 million in dividends during the quarter. Management said full-year outlook points to operational improvement of more than $150 million in adjusted net income compared with June guidance, despite a spike in fuel prices.

Key numbers

Metric Latest Change Source
Adjusted EBITDA $2,993 million from $2,993 million, +$0 million Non-GAAP financial measures
Net income attributable to Carnival Corporation Ltd. $1,920 million from $1,852 million, +$68 million Consolidated statements of income
Total revenues $8,435 million from $8,153 million, +$282 million Consolidated statements of income
Cash from operations $1,410 million from $1,383 million, +$27 million Cash flow information

Why it matters

The filing shows Carnival is still turning demand into earnings while returning cash to shareholders. Total revenues were $8,435 million, up $282 million from $8,153 million a year earlier. That matters because 2027 booked occupancy and pricing are already at record levels. Cash from operations was $1,410 million.

The balance sheet also improved. S&P upgraded the company's credit rating, making it the second rating agency to give investment grade status, and Carnival redeemed $500 million of seven percent coupon notes. Cost pressure remains. Gross margin yields fell 1.3 percent and cruise costs per ALBD rose 4.2 percent, both driven by fuel prices.

What's next

The next dated event is the analyst call at 10:00 a.m. EDT today. Investors will watch whether management keeps 2027 booked occupancy and pricing at record levels and whether fourth-quarter 2026 net yield guidance holds. The company expects fourth-quarter net yields to rise about 1.7 percent from 2025 record levels, or 2.3 percent in constant currency after loyalty program accounting.

Fuel costs will also stay in focus. If those trends hold, the filing supports margin expansion and deleveraging. If they fade, the report looks more like a one-quarter beat than a broader turn.

Sources

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Originally published on OptimistFi, evidence-first equity research. More at optimistfi.com.